Hongkong Land Holdings Limited (SGX:H78) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 2.7% to US$4.38 in the week after its latest full-year results. Overall the results were a little better than the analysts were expecting, with revenues beating forecasts by 4.7%to hit US$2.0b. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Hongkong Land Holdings SGX:H78 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 11th 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the twelve analysts covering Hongkong Land Holdings provided consensus estimates of US$1.89b revenue in 2025, which would reflect a noticeable 5.7% decline over the past 12 months. Hongkong Land Holdings is also expected to turn profitable, with statutory earnings of US$0.30 per share. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$1.88b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.31 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$4.94, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Hongkong Land Holdings analyst has a price target of US$6.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$3.75. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. Over the past five years, revenues have declined around 2.9% annually. Worse, forecasts are essentially predicting the decline to accelerate, with the estimate for an annualised 5.7% decline in revenue until the end of 2025. Compare this against analyst estimates for companies in the broader industry, which suggest that revenues (in aggregate) are expected to decline 0.2% annually. While this is interesting, Hongkong Land Holdings', revenues are still expected to shrink next year, and at a faster rate than the wider industry.

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The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also made no changes to their revenue estimates, implying the business is not expected to experience any major impacts to the current trajectory in the near term, even though it is expected to trail the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$4.94, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Hongkong Land Holdings going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted  1 warning sign for Hongkong Land Holdings  you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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