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One Travel Retailer Stock Can Face Resistance at the Current Level - FLT

Nov 28, 2025 | Team Kalkine
One Travel Retailer Stock Can Face Resistance at the Current Level - FLT
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  • FLT:ASX
  • Investment Type
    Mid - Cap
  • Risk Level
  • Action
  • Rec. Price (AU$)

This report is an updated version of the report published on 28 November 2025 at 3:58 AM AEDT.

Flight Centre Travel Group Limited (ASX: FLT) 

Flight Centre Travel Group Limited (ASX: FLT) operates as a leading global travel retailer, providing leisure and corporate travel services across multiple regions including Australia, New Zealand, the Americas, Europe, Asia, and beyond. 

Recommendation Rationale – SELL at AUD 13.620

  • Technical Standpoint: FLT’s share price has surpassed the R1 level recommended on 10 November 2025. The 14-day RSI is now around 67.95, approaching the overbought territory. This upward move raises the risk of short-term consolidation or downside retracement.
  • Challenging global environment: FY25 experienced patchy trading conditions impacted by geopolitical tensions, US tariff turmoil, cyclical market volatility, cautious consumer spending, and macroeconomic uncertainty, especially during peak Q4 leisure trading periods. These factors constrained total transaction value (TTV) growth and profit margins.
  • Profit pressure: Underlying profit before tax (PBT) fell 9.8% FY25 vs FY24, reflecting soft trading in some segments and regions, lower super over-ride income from suppliers, and continued front-loaded investments in growth initiatives that impacted profitability.
  • Structural and market risks: Slowdowns in global corporate travel, tariff and policy impacts on US inbound travel, and under-performance in segments such as the UK Trans-Atlantic route and some product lines showed persistent operational challenges.

FLT Daily Chart

 Daily Technical Chart, Data Source: REFINITIV 

Valuation Methodology: Price/Cash Flow Value Approach (FY June'26E) (Illustrative)

The stock may trade at a slight premium to peers given the extensive global network, continuous investment in digital platforms like Melon for corporate travel, and multiple travel segments including leisure, corporate, cruises, and luxury travel. For valuation, peers Tabcorp Holdings Ltd (ASX: TAH), 3P Learning Ltd (ASX: 3PL), and Super Retail Group Ltd (ASX: SUL) have been considered.

Given the stock is approaching to its R2 level, recent rally in the share price, and risks associated, it is prudent to sell the stock at the current levels. Hence, a ‘Sell’ recommendation is given on the stock at the current market price of AUD 13.620, as of 28 November 2025, at 3:54 PM AEDT.  

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical issues prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing. 

Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is 28 November 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from REFINITIV or Trading View. Typically, REFINITIV or Trading View may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 25-30 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.

Note 5: Dividend Yield may vary as per the stock price movement. 

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest.

Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest.

Stop-loss: In general, it is a level to protect further losses in case of any unfavourable movement in the stock prices


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Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.