The analysts covering Premier Investments Limited (ASX:PMV) delivered a dose of negativity to shareholders today, by making a substantial revision to their statutory forecasts for this year. This report focused on revenue estimates, and it looks as though the consensus view of the business has become substantially more conservative.

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Following the latest downgrade, the twelve analysts covering Premier Investments provided consensus estimates of AU$809m revenue in 2025, which would reflect a painful 50% decline on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to plummet 24% to AU$1.12 in the same period. Before this latest update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of AU$998m and earnings per share (EPS) of AU$1.22 in 2025. Indeed, we can see that analyst sentiment has declined measurably after the new consensus came out, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a minor downgrade to EPS estimates to boot.

View our latest analysis for Premier Investments ASX:PMV Earnings and Revenue Growth March 31st 2025

It'll come as no surprise then, to learn that the analysts have cut their price target 10.0% to AU$23.79.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 75% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2025. That is a notable change from historical growth of 3.8% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 5.0% per year. It's pretty clear that Premier Investments' revenues are expected to perform substantially worse than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Regrettably, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and the latest forecasts imply the business will grow sales slower than the wider market. The consensus price target fell measurably, with analysts seemingly not reassured by recent business developments, leading to a lower estimate of Premier Investments' future valuation. Given the stark change in sentiment, we'd understand if investors became more cautious on Premier Investments after today.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Premier Investments going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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